These isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms may produce large hail, damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes, with the greatest risk for isolated tornadoes across northeast Kansas. As the Storm Prediction Center's outlook stands right now, our northern and central counties are under an Enhanced Risk for severe weather for late Thursday afternoon into the overnight hours.
We'll then see a break in the action, until redevelopment of storms occurs late in the day, or during the evening hours. Primarily elevated storms should be ongoing - potentially resulting from MCS activity in the morning across Iowa, Minnesota, and portions of Wisconsin. Will we get clearing and how much clearing (sun) will we get in order for the atmosphere to recover and set the stage for more storms this afternoon?
Thursday should be partly sunny, with a high near 79 and west winds at 5 to 10 miles per hour.
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Temperatures will continue to warm up to near 90 degrees on Thursday as the humidity and muggy air makes a return. Lows will be around 70°. Expect highs to remain in the 80s heading into the long holiday weekend. The showers and storms will likely be strong at times with heavy rain in isolated thunderstorms.
Next week several disturbances will be pushing through the area through Wednesday morning bringing rounds of storms including the 4th of July. The severe weather threat doesn't look as bad as Wednesday, however. While models are hinting at a small chances of storms Wednesday and Thursday as well will keep it dry due to inconsistencies and being just one model indicating the chance.